2022 Cy Young betting odds June

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We haven’t checked out Cy Young Award nominees in a few weeks, and now is a good time to do so. There has been quite a shake-up since we last voted and gave the odds on May 19. Let’s see how our thoughts pan out here in early June, with odds from DraftKings Sportsbook provided.

McClanahan has been on the DraftKings Sportsbook board since the start of the season. Not too long ago, he was more than 10 to 1 to bring AL Cy Young home. Now? He is tied with Gerrit Cole for the second best rating. How did we get here so quickly? Well, the numbers McClanahan put up for the Rays in his second season are nothing short of impressive.

We’ve seen 64 1/3 innings from McClanahan, and he’s off. In 11 starts, he posted a sparkling 2.10 ERA (2.43 xERA), a 12.4 K/9, a 1.6 BB/9 and just a 1.1 HR/9. No team has scored him for more than three runs in a start, and he has allowed one or no runs in five of them. What’s most impressive to me are his batting numbers. Among pitchers with at least 60 innings pitched, McClanahan leads them all with 89. Two of the three names right below him? Cole and last year’s reigning NL Cy Young, Corbin Burnes. Even when opposing hitters produce contact against McClanahan, they don’t make hard contact. His 33.1% hard hitting rate is one of the lowest in the league, currently ranking sixth among eligible starters.

I think McClanahan will see his chances change again in the very near future. Unless the schedule changes, he is scheduled to face the Cardinals, Yankees, Orioles, Pirates and Brewers this month. Against lefties, all of these teams except the Cardinals are ranked in the top 10 in K% against lefties. The Orioles (25.8%) and Brewers (24.4%) are in the top five, while the Pirates (24%) and Yankees (23.6%) are ranked seventh and ninth. If he sails this month, you’ll wish you had +650 again.

If you’ve been looking for an opportunity to play a part (perhaps again) in Cortes’ AL victory, this could be your chance. He leads our AL standings, but is now coming off his worst start to the season. The Twins managed to reach him Wednesday night, scoring him for four runs on seven hits, including two homers, in 4 1/3 innings. It was only the first time this season that he allowed at least four runs while tying his lowest strikeout total in a game in 2022. Even with that poor start, his overall numbers still look pretty good. His ERA is still below 2.00 at 1.96 (2.19 xERA) with a 9.9 K/9, a 1.9 BB/9 and a 0.8 HR/9.

I still think Cortes and McClanahan, along with Dylan Cease, are the likeliest options to win the AL Cy Young as things stand. Cortes’ advanced stats show his throwing as well as his surface condition, and he shows no signs of regressing even after that start against the Twins. What works in favor of both players is that Justin Verlander (+390) still throws well. That said, some of Verlander’s advanced stats show he could soon suffer a regression. While he boasts an impressive 2.13 ERA, his xERA is almost over 2.94. His FIP, which is a stat that measures a pitcher’s effectiveness in taking plays that would involve the equation defending, sits at 3.45. If Verlander starts to falter soon, Cortes and McClanahan’s chances will also adjust. Going with either of these guys at this time would be a wise move, in my opinion.

I’m fully under the impression that the National League Cy Young will go to someone on the Marlins. Alcantara and Pablo López both threw well enough to win the award, and neither would surprise me. Still, Corbin Burnes is still your favorite at +450. I don’t think its price is right. While Burnes again casts very well, we’ve already seen a few bumps in the armor. The Padres scored him for five runs over 3 2/3 innings in his last outing, shortly after the Braves hit him for four runs over six innings. All starters get credited with bad outs at times, but the number of strikeouts is also down for Burnes. In his last five starts, Burnes has struck out no more than six batters in three of those games. While it’s extremely difficult to replicate the 12.6 K/9s he had last season, he’s down to just over 11 at 68 1/3 innings. Believe me, I feel like I’m splitting hairs the way I nitpick Burnes. But if I’m being honest, he just hasn’t been the most dominant pitcher in the NL.

That brings me to Alcantara, who earned a no-decision against the Nationals on Wednesday despite nine scoreless innings. Scattering six hits, he struck out six and didn’t walk a batter. Alcantara has now allowed just two earned runs in his last five starts, which span 41 innings. He is simply untouchable. While he doesn’t have the outcall that some of the other candidates have, Alcantara makes up for it by throwing clean, harmless innings. Of his 12 starts, he has allowed just one earned run in eight of them. While his 1.61 ERA also comes with a 2.55 xERA, I still strongly believe that Alcantara is a better candidate than Burnes at this point.

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