Tropical watches, warnings could come for Florida today, hurricane center says – Orlando Sentinel

The National Hurricane Center may issue tropical storm watches and warnings later in the day for Florida residents as disturbances off the Yucatan Peninsula are expected to grow.

Putting the hurricane patterns at odds with each other, the disturbance, which is the remnant of Hurricane Agatha from the Pacific Ocean, has an 80% chance of reforming into a tropical depression or storm in both to the next five days, but its future destination remains uncertain, the NHC said in its 8 a.m. update. If the storm reforms with winds of at least 39 mph, it will become Tropical Storm Alex and become the first named system of the Atlantic season.

On Monday, Agatha – the first storm of the Pacific hurricane season, which began May 15 – formed into a Category 2 hurricane and made landfall in Puerto Angel, Mexico. The storm dissipated over the rugged terrain of Mexico on Tuesday, but not before leaving at least 10 people dead and 20 others missing, according to the governor of the southern state of Oaxaca.

The NHC thinks it will likely reform by the weekend.

The disturbed area of ​​the storms is near the Yucatan Peninsula and in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. The system’s forward motion slowed Thursday morning, but NHC hurricane specialists are warning Floridians to stay on their toes as the Sunshine State remains an area of ​​interest for the system’s future.

As for exactly what will happen to Central Florida, the models are at odds with each other.

“It’s the difference between two main models,” said Spectrum News 13 meteorologist Bryan Karrick.

The European storm pattern shows the slower movement of the Gulf disturbance bringing heavy rain to Florida on Saturday and cooler temperatures, Karrick said. However, the US GFS model shows the system moving much faster with less rain on Saturday and much warmer temperatures.

Meteorologists expect to have a better idea of ​​where the disturbance is likely to move after watching it further in the gulf and seeing a few more storm patterns.

On Monday, Hurricane Agatha made history as the strongest hurricane on record in May during the Eastern Pacific hurricane season, ripping roofs off and washing away roads before fading into southern Mexico on Tuesday.

Oaxaca State Governor Alejandro Murat told MVS Noticias on Tuesday that eight people were missing in mudslides or flooding.

The storm hit Oaxaca State on Monday afternoon as a powerful Category 2 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph, then quickly lost power as it moved eastward. inland above the mountainous interior.

Meanwhile, the surface trough 200 miles northeast of the central Bahamas has diminished, the NHC said in its 8 a.m. update.

Last week, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its forecast for the hurricane season, indicating a 65% chance of an above-average 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, beginning June 1 and continuing through November 30. .

Orlando Sentinel staff writers Lisa Maria Garza, Richard Tribou and The Associated Press contributed to this report.

More hurricane coverage:

Preparing for hurricane season

Cone of uncertainty

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